Riba:
- Samun damar bambance inda hankali na wucin gadi ke adana ainihin lokaci a cikin nazarin tattalin arziki (harhada bayanai, daftarin aiki, lamba, taƙaitaccen bayani) da kuma inda (alhakin hasashen, yanke shawara, yanke shawara, adadi na hukuma) an bar yanke shawara ga ƙwararren masanin tattalin arziki, bisa ga matakin haɗarin aiki.
- Ƙarfin yin amfani da horo wanda ke tabbatar da kowane fitowar hankali na wucin gadi ta hanyar matakan haɗa shi zuwa tushen asali (TURKSTAT / EVDS / IMF), sake ƙididdige shi da wucewa ta hanyar tace ma'anar tattalin arziki.
- Ƙarfin gane haɗarin lambobin karya (hallucinations), tsoffin kwanakin yanke bayanai da zubewar bayanan sirri, da samun ɗabi'ar zabar kayan aiki da albarkatu masu aminci.
Teburin masanin tattalin arziki shine ainihin masana'antar bayanai da rubutu: kuna fassara bayanan hauhawar farashin kaya daga TURKSTAT da safe, rubuta bayanin kula ga hukumar ci gaba da rana, tsaftace jerin lokaci kuma kuyi ƙoƙarin yin hasashen da yamma. Yawancin wannan aikin injiniya ne, ba tunani ba: zazzage bayanai, jujjuya raka'a, tebur na gyarawa, taƙaita dogon rahotanni, lambar rubutu. Hankali na wucin gadi (AI — manyan samfuran harshe da kayan aikin taimako) yana sauƙaƙa daidai wannan nauyin injin. Amma bari mu fara da jumlar da za mu sake maimaitawa a cikin wannan tsarin: Hankali na wucin gadi shine mataimakin masanin tattalin arziki, ba ƙwararren da ya maye gurbinsa ba. Alhakin hasashen hauhawar farashin kaya, shawarwarin tsarin kuɗi ko adadi na jama'a koyaushe yana kan mutum da cibiyar da suka rattaba hannu akansa.
Ka yi la'akari da wannan naúrar kamar "littafin mai amfani": a nan za mu tsara inda za a saka AI, inda ba za a saka shi ba, da kuma yadda za a inganta kowane fitarwa. Sauran raka'a goma za su sanya nama akan wannan kwarangwal.
Menene hankali na wucin gadi yana haɓaka a cikin tattalin arziki kuma menene ba ya haɓaka?
Bari mu raba ayyukan zuwa akwatuna uku bisa ga matakin haɗari. Wannan bambanci shine kamfas na gabaɗayan module.
Akwatin Green - AI yana da ƙarfi, yana ƙara sauri (har yanzu ana duba). Rubuta lambar zazzage bayanai, ba da shawarar matakai don tsaftace bayanai, taƙaita dogon rahoto ko labarin, samar da lamba don ginshiƙi, sauƙaƙe da tsara rubutu, bayyana sharuɗɗan, fassarar, kwarangwal bayanin kula da manufofin. Anan farashin kuskure yayi ƙasa kuma ana iya ganin kurakurai cikin sauƙi.
Akwatin rawaya - AI yana taimakawa amma ɗan adam yana tabbatarwa. Gina samfurin jerin lokaci, fassarar koma-baya, lissafin yanayi, fassarar ma'ana, haɗin wallafe-wallafe. Anan AI ta samar da tsari; Amma lambobi, zato da dabaru na tattalin arziki ba sa zuwa ko'ina ba tare da an duba layi ta layi ba.
Akwatin ja - Alhakin yana kan ɗan adam, AI ba zai iya yanke shawara ba. Amincewa ta ƙarshe na adadi na hauhawar farashi/girma, mallakin tsarin kuɗi ko tsarin kasafin kuɗi, sa hannun hasashen da za a yi a bainar jama'a, ra'ayi wanda ya juya zuwa yanke shawara na saka hannun jari/ bashi. A nan AI kawai yana samar da shigarwa; Hukunci, alhaki da sa hannu na mutum ne.
Tukwici: Idan ba ka tabbatar da akwatin da za a saka ɗawainiya a ciki ba, yi wannan tambayar: "Wane ne ke jin rauni idan wannan fitowar ta zama ba daidai ba, kuma za a iya lura da kuskure cikin sauƙi?" Idan lalacewar ta yi girma kuma kuskuren yana ɓoye, wannan aikin yana kusa da ja.
Iyakoki na asali guda uku na basirar wucin gadi
Domin a yi amfani da shi cikin aminci a fannin tattalin arziki, dole ne a fara sanin inda ya yi tuntuɓe.
1) Fabrication (hallucination). Babban samfurin harshe wani lokaci yana samar da lamba ko tushen da bai sani ba, cikin yare mai ƙarfin gwiwa. Maganar "Rashin gibin asusu na 2023 ya kasance dala biliyan 45.2" da alama gaskiya ne amma yana iya zama kuskure. A cikin tattalin arziki, wannan yana da kisa: adadi marar kuskure yana cutar da rahoto, tsinkaya, yanke shawara.
2) Ranar yanke bayanai. Bayanan horo na samfurin yana tsayawa a wani kwanan wata. Sabbin hauhawar farashin kaya, sabon yanke shawara na kudin ruwa, da farashin musaya na jiya ana iya cire su daga wannan bayanin. AI na iya ba ku lambar da ta wuce watanni da yawa ko shekaru a matsayin "bayanan bayanai".
3) Sanadin makanta da rashin mahalli. AI yana ɗaukar alamu a cikin harshe; baya "fahimta" causality tattalin arziki. Yakan yi jimla irin su “Idan kudin ruwa ya karu, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya ragu” sosai, amma ba zai iya tantancewa a cikin wanne yanayi suke da inganci ko kuma a wace kasa akasin haka ya faru a wanne lokaci. Ba zai iya ganin raguwar tsari ba (canza tsari tare da rikici).
Hankali: Domin kawai jumlar tana da kyau kuma tana da kwarin gwiwa ba yana nufin ta yi daidai ba. Hankalin wucin gadi a mafi gamsarwa na iya zama mafi kuskure.
La'akari da tabbatarwa: SOURCE-Asusun-Tace
Zuciyar wannan ƙirar al'ada ce guda ɗaya. Ɗauki kowane fitowar AI ta matakai uku:
- MAJIYA. Kowane lamba da da'awar gaskiya suna da alaƙa da tushen asali. Hasashen farashi daga TURKSTAT, canjin kuɗi da ma'auni na biyan kuɗi daga CBRT, hasashen duniya daga IMF. Kuna yin la'akari da bugu na hukuma, ba adadi da AI ya bayar ba.
- BILL. Kuna sake lissafin kowace lambar da aka samu da hannu aƙalla sau ɗaya. Shin ƙimar girma, ƙimar gaske da fihirisa an samo su tare da madaidaicin dabara? Duba lokaci akan takarda.
- SIVE. Kuna wuce sakamakon ta hanyar fahimtar tattalin arziki: Shin wannan girman ya dace? Alamar daidai? A cikin kewayon tarihi? Akwai wani sabani? Sakamakon rashin ma'ana sau da yawa alama ce ta kuskure.
uku mini lokuta
Case 1 - Kama siffar karya. Wani manazarci na hukumar raya kasa ya shaidawa YZ cewa "ta yi jadawalin alkaluman fitar da kayayyaki na shekarar 2023 bisa larduna." AI ya ba da hoto mai kyau. A matakin SOURCE, manazarcin ya duba kididdigar cinikayyar kasashen waje ta TUIK, ya ga cewa alkaluman larduna uku sun ninka na ainihin bayanan; AI ta cika bayanan da suka ɓace tare da lambobi "masu kyau". Manazarcin ya jefar da teburin ya ciro bayanan kai tsaye daga TURKSTAT. An kama mutumin da aka kirkira kafin a saka shi a cikin rahoton.
Case 2 - Tarkon bayanan da ba a daɗe ba. Wani ɗan jaridar tattalin arziki ya tambayi YZ, "Mene ne ƙimar manufofin yanzu?" sai ya tambaya; Amsar da ya samu ita ce adadin watanni takwas da suka gabata. Dan jaridar, wanda ke da al'ada na ACCOUNT/ SOURCE, ya dubi hukuncin MPK (Kwamitin Manufofin Kuɗi) na ƙarshe na CBRT kuma yayi amfani da daidai adadin. Idan bai tambaya ba, da ba daidai ba sha'awa ta tafi ga littafin.
Case 3 - Tace Tattalin Arziki. Wani dalibi-bincike yana da AI ta ƙididdige jerin albashi na gaske. Sakamakon ya nuna cewa albashi na gaske ya karu da kashi 140 cikin 100 a cikin shekara guda. Matakin FILTER ya shigo cikin wasa: girman wannan ba gaskiya bane. A cikin lambar, AI ta yi amfani da deflator (ƙirar gyara farashin) tare da tushe mara kyau. An sami kuskuren, an gyara dabarar, kuma sakamakon ya faɗi cikin kewayon da ya dace.
Samfura huɗu masu kwafi
1) Tsare-tsare yana bayyana ayyuka da iyakoki:
Matsayinku: mataimaki na bincike ga babban masanin tattalin arziki. Dokoki: (1) Kada ku sanya adadin da ban ba ku ba. Idan ba ku sani ba, ku ce "kuna buƙatar tabbatar da wannan bayanan". (2) Ƙayyade daga wane tushe na hukuma (TURKSTAT/CBRT/IMF, da sauransu) ya kamata a tabbatar da shi ga kowace lamba da kuka bayar. (3) Bayyana yanayin da rashin tabbas a fili yayin yin da'awar dalili. Idan kun fahimta, tabbatar a cikin jumla ɗaya.
2) Buƙatun tabbatar da tushe:
Yi nazarin da'awar mai zuwa: "[da'awar]". Jera wace tushen hukuma/mafificiya (cibiyar, sunan bugawa, jerin) yakamata in duba don tabbatar da wannan. Gano wace ma'anar da lokacin kowane lamba a cikin da'awar ke cikinsa. Kada ku ba da lambobi daga ƙwaƙwalwar ajiyar ku.
3) Bugawa don tace fitarwa:
Bincika sakamakon bincike mai zuwa don daidaiton tattalin arziki: shin alamar tana da ma'ana, girman girman da ke cikin kewayon tarihi, shin raka'a sun daidaita, akwai zato na ɓoye? Yi alama a duk abin da kuka samu na tuhuma tare da alamar "tabbata".
4) Buƙatar rarraba haɗarin aiki:
Zan yi aiki mai zuwa: "[quest]". Rarraba shi a matsayin kore (masu aikin injiniya, ƙananan haɗari), rawaya (daftarin aiki, tabbatar da ɗan adam) ko ja (yanke shawara / alhakin mutum) kuma bayyana dalilin a cikin jumla ɗaya.
Rauni mai ƙarfi / Ƙarfi mai ƙarfi
Rawanin faɗakarwa:
Rubuta bincike game da tattalin arzikin Turkiyya.
Marasa ma'ana kuma mara iyaka; AI yana samar da rubutu gama gari, mara tushe, rubutu mara tabbaci.
Ƙarfi mai ƙarfi:
Matsayinku: mataimakin bincike. Ina da 2019-2024 CPI na shekara-shekara da bayanan ci gaban GDP daga TURKSTAT (a ƙasa). Rubuta sharhin daftarin sakin layi na 3 dangane da wannan bayanan; Ɗauki kowace lamba daga teburin da na ba ku, kada ku ƙara lambobi daga waje; Inda ba ku da tabbas, rubuta "dole ne a tabbatar". A ƙarshe jera abubuwan da nake buƙatar dubawa da hannu.[tebur]
Wannan faɗakarwa yana ba da rawar, albarkatu, ƙuntatawa, da tsammanin tabbatarwa tare; Fitowar ta zama abin dubawa.
Kuskuren gama gari
- Kula da lambar da AI ta bayar a matsayin tushen. AI ba hanya ba ce; TURKSTAT/CBRT/IMF shine tushen.
- Kuskure iyawa don daidaito. Jumla da aka rubuta da kyau na iya zama kuskure.
- Ketare akwatin ɗawainiya. Wucewa aikin akwatin ja da sauri kamar kore shine kuskure mafi tsada.
- Mantawa da ranar yanke bayanai. Neman "yanzu" da samun tsohuwar lamba.
- Ba tare da nuna bambanci ba yana manne bayanan sirri/masu hankali na kasuwa cikin kayan aiki. Cin zarafin sirri da za mu gani a naúrar gaba.
- Tsallake matakin lissafin da hannu. Amfani da lambar da aka samu ba tare da duba ta kwata-kwata ba.
A takaice
Hankali na wucin gadi shine mataimaki mai ƙarfi wanda ke rage nauyin injinin masana tattalin arziki; amma alhakin hasashe, manufofi da alkaluman hukuma yana kan mutum. Rarraba ayyuka cikin akwatunan kore-rawaya-ja, ka tuna ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun AI (ƙira, kwanan yanke bayanai, makanta), da wuce kowane fitarwa ta cikin horon SOURCE-ACCOUNT-Filter. Waɗannan matakai guda uku sune bel ɗin aminci ga sauran tsarin.
Aikin aikace-aikace
Zaɓi mako na gaske daga aikin ku kuma jera ayyuka 10 na tattalin arziki da kuka yi a wancan makon (misali "fassarar bayanan hauhawar farashin kaya", "shirya teburin fitarwa na lardin", "samar da taƙaitaccen rahoto"). Rarraba kowane ɗawainiya azaman kore/rawaya/ja. Sannan zaɓi ɗawainiya a cikin akwatin kore kuma sami AI ta yin amfani da samfura na 1 da 3 a sama, kuma bincika fitarwa tare da SOURCE – ACCOUNT – Tace kuma lura aƙalla kuskure ɗaya da kuka samu.
jerin abubuwan dubawa
- [ ] Na sanya aikin daidai a cikin akwatin kore / rawaya / ja.
- [ ] Na tabbatar da kowace lamba da aka bayar ta hanyar bayanan wucin gadi daga babban tushe na hukuma.
- [ ] Na sake kirga aƙalla lamba ɗaya da aka samo.
- [ ] Na tace sakamakon ta hanyar fahimtar tattalin arziki (alama, girma, naúrar).
- [ ] Na duba ranar yanke bayanan da haɗarin sake dawowa.
- [ ] Ban yi amfani da bayanan sirri / m ko amfani da amintattun kayan aikin da aka yarda da su ba.
- [ ] Na yi iƙirarin mallakar abin fitarwa, tare da tabbatar da cewa ina da hukunci na ƙarshe da sa hannu.