Riba:
- Ability don saka idanu da inganta ayyukan jiragen ruwa, shirin kaya da ayyukan tashar jiragen ruwa dangane da bayanai tare da AI
- Ikon kimanta shata, bunker da yanke shawara na ETA tare da yanayin da ke tallafawa AI
- Ikon tabbatar da kasuwancin AI da shawarwarin aiki tare da ainihin farashi, kwangila da ƙuntatawar aminci
Idan jirgi ɗaya yana da sarƙaƙiya, aikin mai mallakar jirgi inda jiragen ruwa da yawa ke samar da jiragen ruwa, sarrafa jigilar kayayyaki a duniya, mai (bunkers), tashoshin jiragen ruwa da ma'aikatan jirgin, ya fi rikitarwa. Gudanar da jiragen ruwa; kasuwanci, fasaha da gudanarwa na jiragen ruwa da yawa; A lokaci guda tana gudanar da tambayoyin ko wane jirgi ya kamata ya dauki kaya, inda ya kamata ya samu mai, a wanne tashar jiragen ruwa da lokacin, da kuma lokacin da ya kamata a tsara gyaransa. Wannan ingantawar miliyoyin daloli ne da kuma babban kasuwancin bayanai. Hankali na wucin gadi (AI) yana ba da ikon goyan bayan wannan shawarar, tsinkaya da kwatancen yanayi; amma gaskiyar kasuwanni, iska da tashoshi ba su da tabbas kuma babban alhakin kasuwanci-aiki yana kan mutane.
Iyaka: Tabbatattun shawarwarin kasuwanci na AI kamar "wannan tashar tashar jiragen ruwa da wannan saurin tabbas shine mafi riba", "wannan jirgin ya kamata ya ɗauki wannan kaya" kar a juya zuwa yanke shawara mai ɗauri ba tare da tabbatar da bayanan kasuwa na yanzu ba, abubuwan farashi na gaske da kuma matsalolin aiki / aminci. "Mafi kyau duka" tabbaci ne na ƙarya a cikin duniyar da ba ta da tabbas.
Ra'ayoyi: Bunker: Man Fetur; bunkering mai. Jam'iyyar Yarjejeniya: Yarjejeniyar Hayar; yana ƙayyade saurin, amfani da nauyi. Laytime / demurrage: Lokacin da aka ba da izini don saukewa / saukewa a tashar jiragen ruwa da kuma hukuncin da aka biya don wuce shi. Tafiya mara komai (ƙafar ballast): Sashin da ake yi ana sauke shi kuma baya samun kudin shiga. Juyawa ta tashar jiragen ruwa: Tsarin tashar jiragen ruwa da jiragen ruwa za su kira a. Hasashen buƙatu: Hasashen kaya / buƙatun kaya na gaba.
Haɓaka Fleet da Hukunce-hukuncen Bunker
Haɓakawa na Fleet yana warware yanke shawara masu alaƙa da yawa tare: wanda jirgin zai ba da kaya (rage tafiye-tafiye mara kyau), menene ma'auni na saurin-man fetur ya kamata ya kasance ga kowane balaguron balaguro, inda kuma yawan man da za a saya. Shawarar bunker ɗin tana da mahimmancin bayanai: farashin mai ya bambanta daga tashar jiragen ruwa zuwa tashar jiragen ruwa da rana zuwa rana, karkata zuwa tashar mai rahusa yana ƙara ƙarin nisa da lokaci, kuma yana iyakance ƙarfin tankin jirgin da sauran man fetur. AI yana tattara duk waɗannan abubuwa a cikin samfuri kuma ya amsa tambayar "nawa ne tashar tashar jiragen ruwa ta rage yawan farashi" tare da al'amuran.
Amma samfurin yana da kyau kamar farashi da bayanan farashi da yake shigar dashi. Farashin man fetur kimantawa ne; iya karkata. Dole ne a ƙididdige ƙarin ƙarin farashin tashar jiragen ruwa na karkatarwa (tashar, jagora, lokaci). Ƙaƙƙarfan gudu/gudu na jam'iyyar shata da hukunce-hukuncen lokacin aiki sun haɗa cikin yanke shawara. AI na iya samar da kyakkyawar amsa "tabbas mafi riba"; gogaggen ma'aikaci yana gyara wannan tare da rashin tabbas da dabaru na yanayi. Sakamako mai mahimmanci ba "mafi kyau" ɗaya ba ne amma wanne yanke shawara ne mai dorewa a cikin yanayi daban-daban na farashi/ yanayi.
Tukwici: Lokacin tambayar AI don yanke shawara na bunker / hanya, nemi "ba ɗaya mafi kyawun amsa ba, amma yanayin yanayi 3 (farashi mara nauyi / matsakaici / babba) kuma wanne yanke shawara a cikin kowane labari yana rage jimlar farashi." A cikin kasuwar da ba ta da tabbas, yanke shawara mai ɗorewa ya fi daraja fiye da “mafi kyau” aya ɗaya.
Ayyukan Port da Hasashen Buƙatun
Port side AI; Yana taimakawa kimanta isowar jirgi da lokutan tashi (kiran tashar jiragen ruwa), tsarar jiragen ruwa da na'ura mai kwakwalwa, tara kwantena da sarrafa yadi, da hasashen zirga-zirgar tashar jiragen ruwa. Lokacin da aka haɗa tare da isowar lokaci-lokaci, yana rage jiran jiragen ruwa a gaban tashar jiragen ruwa kuma yana adana man fetur da lokaci. Duk da haka, tashar jiragen ruwa wuri ne da yawancin 'yan wasan kwaikwayo masu zaman kansu (terminal, tugboat, kwastan, iska) suka hadu da jinkirin girma a cikin sarkar; Hasashen ba su da tabbas kuma suna buƙatar haɗin kai na gaske.
Hasashen buƙatun (hasashen buƙatun sufuri da sufuri) yana ciyarwa cikin shirin kasuwanci amma ya dogara da bayanan tarihi; Abubuwan da ke girgiza kasuwa (geopolitics, tashar tashar tashar, buƙatun buƙatun) yanayi ne waɗanda ba su faru a baya ba kuma suna ɓatar da samfurin. Hasashen AI yana da mahimmanci a matsayin shigarwa; shi kadai ba zai iya samar da ginshikin kulla yarjejeniya ta kasuwanci ba.
yanke shawara
AI gudunmawa
Rashin tabbas / tabbatarwa
Daidaitan jigilar kaya
Rage tafiye-tafiye mara kyau
Ƙuntataccen aiki, farashi na gaske
tsarin bunker
Yanayin nisa farashin
Farashin na yanzu, farashin karkacewa
Gudun / ETA
Ma'auni na lokacin man fetur
Yarjejeniya alkawari, iska
shirin tashar jiragen ruwa
Dock/crane ingantawa
Hadin gwiwar 'yan wasan kwaikwayo da yawa
Hasashen buƙatu
Trend/scenario
Ba a haɗa girgizar kasuwa a cikin ƙirar ba
Mini Cases
Case 1 - Tarkon "mafi yawan riba". Don balaguron balaguro, AI ta ce, "Ɗauki jirgin ruwa a tashar jiragen ruwa X, ku yi tafiya a 14.5 knots, tabbas mafi riba." Lokacin da ma'aikacin ya dubi cikakkun bayanai, ya ga cewa karkacewar zuwa tashar jiragen ruwa Lokacin da aka yi la'akari da jimillar farashi, tashar Y shine mafi ɗorewa zabi. Darasi: "mafi kyawun gaske" shine tabbacin ƙarya; Ana la'akari da duk abubuwan farashi da ƙuntatawa.
Case 2 - Yanayin farashi. Ƙungiya ta tsara shirinta na bunker tana ɗaukar farashi ɗaya kuma ta sayi adadi mai yawa. Farashin yana motsawa daban fiye da yadda aka tsara kuma yanke shawara ya koma baya. Idan yanayin farashin farashi guda uku (ƙananan / matsakaici / babba) an kafa su daga farkon kuma an zaɓi adadin mai dorewa a cikin kowane, ana iya sarrafa haɗarin. Darasi: A cikin farashi mara tabbas, ana neman tabbataccen shawara na tushen yanayi, ba zato ɗaya ba.
Harka 3 - Sarkar jinkirin tashar jiragen ruwa. AI yana samar da kyakkyawan tsari don juyawa tashar jiragen ruwa; Yana ɗaukan lokacin lodawa / saukewa a kowace tashar jiragen ruwa. A hakikanin gaskiya, akwai jinkirin tug da kwastam a tashar jiragen ruwa, an wuce lokacin da aka kashe kuma ana samun hukuncin demurrage; Har ila yau shirin tashar jiragen ruwa na gaba yana gungurawa. Darasi: Shirye-shiryen tashar jiragen ruwa yana da 'yan wasan kwaikwayo da yawa kuma ba shi da tabbas; Tsari mai fa'ida ba tare da kayyadewa ba yana haifar da hukunci.
Samfuran Sauƙaƙen Kwafi
Samfura 1 - Binciken labari na Bunker:
Matsayi: Kai ne mashawarcin ayyukan rundunar jiragen ruwa. Ma'anar (wakilta): tafiya [tashi → isowa], karfin tankin jirgin ruwa, ragowar man fetur, tashar jiragen ruwa na ɗan takara da farashin, nisan karkata. Aiki: 1) Ƙididdige jimlar farashin kowane tashar jiragen ruwa na ɗan takara (man mai + nisan karkata + lokaci + farashin tashar jiragen ruwa). 2) Sanya 3 ƙananan / matsakaici / farashi mai girma. 3) Bayyana shawarar da ke da ɗorewa a kowane yanayi. Takurawa: KADA KA CE "Mafi kyawun halitta"; Nuna rashin tabbas da takurawa. Rubuta cewa farashin yanzu yana buƙatar tabbatarwa.
Samfura na 2 - Daidaitan jigilar kaya:
Saita tsari mai dacewa don jerin jiragen ruwa masu zuwa da jigilar kaya (wakili): [jirgin ruwa, wurare, kaya, kwanan wata].1) Ba da shawarar daidaitawa wanda ya rage girman ballast.2) Duba ƙayyadaddun aiki (ikon, daftarin, ETA) na kowane nau'i-nau'i. Ƙuntatawa: Shawarwarin ba yanke shawara ba ne; Ana buƙatar amincewar kasuwanci/aiki. Tuta yayi daidai da cin zarafi.
Samfura 3 - Tsarin tashar jiragen ruwa da haɗarin jinkiri:
Yi la'akari da haɗarin jinkiri don shirin juyawa tashar jiragen ruwa: [Tsarin tashar jiragen ruwa, lokutan ƙididdiga.1) Waɗanne tashoshin jiragen ruwa ne ke cikin haɗarin jinkirin masu wasan kwaikwayo da yawa?2) Ina haɗarin laytime / demurrage ya yi girma?3) A ina zan sa buffer? Ƙuntatawa: Ka guje wa tsammanin "duk abin da ke kan lokaci" zato; Bayyana cewa hasashen ba su da tabbas kuma ana buƙatar haɗin kai.
Samfurin 4 - Bincika ƙimar tayin kasuwanci:
Koka da shawarwarin kasuwanci mai zuwa:[manna shawarwari da ma'ana]1) Shin "mafi kyawun / daidai" yaren ƙarya daidai ne? Waɗanne rashin tabbas ne akwai?2) Shin an yi la'akari da duk abubuwan farashi (bangare, lokaci, hukunci)?3) A cikin wane yanayi kasuwa / yanayin yanayi ne wannan shawarar zata ci baya?
Rauni mai ƙarfi / Ƙarfi mai ƙarfi
Rawanin faɗakarwa:
Faɗa mani tashar jirgin ruwa mai fa'ida mafi riba da saurin wannan tafiya.
Ƙarfi mai ƙarfi:
Matsayi: Kai ne mashawarcin ayyuka na rundunar jiragen ruwa. Mahimmanci (wakili): tafiya [x→y], tashar jiragen ruwa na ɗan takara da jeri na farashin yanzu, nisan karkata, sadaukarwar saurin haya. Aiki: Lissafin jimlar farashin (man fetur + karkatar da lokaci + tashar jiragen ruwa) ga kowane ɗan takara; Saita yanayi 3 don farashin; bayyana yanke shawara mai ɗorewa a cikin kowane yanayi.Taƙaitawa: KAR KA CE "Mafi yawan riba"; nuna rashin tabbas, ya haɗa da ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun lokaci, rubuta cewa za a tabbatar da farashin na yanzu.
Mai rauni mai sauri yana neman maki guda "mafi riba"; m gaggawa yana gabatar da jimillar farashi, yanayi, takurawa da tabbatarwa.
Kuskuren gama gari
- Yin imani da "mafi kyawun". A cikin kasuwar da ba ta da tabbas, mafi kyawun maki guda ɗaya shine tabbacin ƙarya; Ana neman juriyar tushen yanayi.
- Ƙididdigar farashin karkata. Ƙarin nisa, lokaci da farashin tashar jiragen ruwa na karkata zuwa tashar jirgin ruwa mai rahusa yana canza shawarar gabaɗaya.
- Keɓancewar ƙa'idar shata / ƙuntatawa na lokacin aiki. Aiwatar da sauri da hukuncin lalata kai tsaye suna shafar shawarar kasuwanci.
- Kafa tashar tashar jiragen ruwa da kyakkyawan fata. Multi-actor jinkiri cascade; buffering da daidaitawa suna da mahimmanci.
- Yin la'akari da hasashen buƙatu azaman garanti. Samfurin ya dogara ne akan abubuwan da suka gabata; Ba a haɗa girgizar kasuwa a cikin hasashen ba kuma ba zai iya samar da tushen sadaukarwa shi kaɗai ba.
A takaice
Gudanar da jiragen ruwa, dabaru da ayyukan tashar jiragen ruwa kasuwanci ne na manyan bayanai da ingantawa iri-iri; AI yana ba da goyan bayan yanke shawara, kwatanta yanayi, da hasashen. Amma kasuwa, yanayi da tashar jiragen ruwa ba su da tabbas: "mafi kyawun gaske" shine tabbacin ƙarya, duk abubuwan farashi da ƙayyadaddun shata / laytime ana la'akari da su, shirye-shiryen tashar jiragen ruwa suna buƙatar buffering da daidaituwa. Babban alhakin kasuwanci-aiki ya ta'allaka ne ga ɗan adam wanda ke yanke shawara bisa ga bayanan zamani.
Aikin aikace-aikace
Don balaguron balaguron wakilci (tashi, isowa, tashar jiragen ruwa na ɗan takara da jeri na farashi, nisa mai nisa) suna da AI amfani da samfurin "binciken labarin bunker"; Ƙayyade yanke shawara mai ɗorewa a cikin yanayin farashi guda uku. Sannan a gwada shawarwarin kasuwanci tare da samfurin “tabbatar sahihancin kasuwanci” don fallasa maƙasudan da ke bayan yaren “mafi kyawun gaske”. Tattauna haɗarin jinkiri da buƙatar buffer don juyawa tashar jiragen ruwa. Jera waɗanne bayanai ne ake buƙatar tabbatarwa daga tushen yanzu.
jerin abubuwan dubawa
- [ ] Na gwada shawarwarin "mafi kyawu" don dorewar tushen yanayi.
- [ ] Na haɗa da nisa karkata, lokaci da farashin tashar jiragen ruwa a cikin shawarar bunker.
- [ ] Na yi la'akari da sadaukarwar saurin hayar da kuma ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun lokaci/demurrage.
- [ ] Na ƙirƙiri shirin tashar jiragen ruwa tare da buffering da daidaituwa, ba da kyakkyawan fata ba.
- [ ] Ban sanya hasashen buƙatu ya zama tushen ginshiƙan ɗauri kawai ba.
- [ ] Na tabbatar da farashin yanzu da bayanan farashi; Na bar hukunci na ƙarshe ga mutane.